| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.66 | 42.3% | 18.88 | 57.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.87 | 57.2% | 51.94 | 58.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.28 | 54.9% | 49.05 | 56.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.35 | 53.5% | 12.50 | 53.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →