| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.78 | 64.0% | 60.00 | 65.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.51 | 62.1% | 39.47 | 62.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.70 | 60.7% | 38.03 | 61.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.27 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 59.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.52 | 56.5% | 42.11 | 57.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.94 | 54.4% | 53.79 | 55.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.52 | 46.5% | 12.34 | 53.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.62 | 52.9% | 38.93 | 53.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 11.73 | 51.8% | 6.08 | 52.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.20 | 51.0% | 28.14 | 51.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.06 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 50.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →