| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.38 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 34.7% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.71 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.8% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.21 | 60.2% | 34.45 | 39.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.57 | 59.0% | 23.95 | 40.5% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.77 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 41.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.84 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 44.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.42 | 52.3% | 40.49 | 46.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.42 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 48.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 128.42 | 46.7% | 60.00 | 51.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →