| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.51 | 65.6% | 60.00 | 66.6% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.59 | 63.4% | 60.00 | 64.5% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.08 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 62.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.09 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 60.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.39 | 56.4% | 53.21 | 57.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.47 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 55.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.71 | 51.0% | 60.00 | 52.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →