| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.71 | 61.4% | 39.10 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.06 | 60.4% | 8.50 | 39.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.24 | 60.0% | 12.75 | 39.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.51 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 40.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.35 | 56.0% | 59.53 | 42.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.09 | 54.0% | 30.80 | 45.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →