| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.98 | 56.5% | 15.82 | 56.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.37 | 55.4% | 36.76 | 56.2% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.43 | 45.0% | 16.39 | 54.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.22 | 55.2% | 13.36 | 55.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.90 | 54.2% | 28.14 | 54.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.06 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 53.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.99 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →