| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.00 | 61.6% | 41.91 | 37.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.79 | 38.5% | 23.00 | 39.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.73 | 37.0% | 25.04 | 37.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 175.48 | 34.2% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.24 | 30.2% | 57.75 | 32.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 231.23 | 25.9% | 60.00 | 28.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 281.03 | 21.3% | 60.00 | 23.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →