| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.17 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 32.5% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.07 | 64.5% | 60.00 | 34.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.96 | 62.3% | 59.76 | 36.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.09 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 38.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.41 | 57.5% | 60.00 | 41.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.42 | 54.8% | 60.00 | 43.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.29 | 52.0% | 60.00 | 46.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →