| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.75 | 72.0% | 43.76 | 27.4% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.06 | 70.5% | 60.00 | 28.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.32 | 68.7% | 60.00 | 30.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.85 | 66.8% | 60.00 | 32.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.70 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.94 | 62.5% | 60.00 | 36.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.63 | 60.2% | 60.00 | 38.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.87 | 57.8% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.80 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →