| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.63 | 72.6% | 60.00 | 73.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.61 | 70.9% | 60.00 | 71.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.81 | 69.1% | 60.00 | 70.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.28 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 68.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.05 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 66.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.20 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 64.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.79 | 60.7% | 60.00 | 61.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.90 | 58.3% | 60.00 | 59.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.66 | 55.7% | 60.00 | 57.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →