| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.20 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.79 | 50.9% | 46.25 | 47.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.28 | 49.2% | 24.24 | 50.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.15 | 50.7% | 29.48 | 51.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.44 | 49.7% | 9.17 | 50.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.46 | 48.9% | 22.25 | 49.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.86 | 50.4% | 51.29 | 48.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →