| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.84 | 68.3% | 60.00 | 69.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.94 | 66.7% | 37.33 | 67.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.22 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 66.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.38 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 64.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.51 | 60.7% | 54.95 | 61.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.77 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 59.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.51 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 57.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.05 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 54.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →