| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.47 | 49.8% | 60.00 | 51.3% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 128.49 | 46.7% | 60.00 | 48.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 138.25 | 43.4% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 150.40 | 39.9% | 60.00 | 41.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 165.87 | 36.2% | 60.00 | 38.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 186.22 | 32.2% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 214.15 | 28.0% | 60.00 | 30.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 254.76 | 23.6% | 60.00 | 25.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 319.18 | 18.8% | 60.00 | 21.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →