| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.91 | 54.9% | 13.67 | 44.8% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.86 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.67 | 47.1% | 42.26 | 48.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.84 | 44.9% | 41.65 | 46.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.22 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 43.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.06 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 46.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.98 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 49.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 130.31 | 46.0% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.86 | 55.2% | 14.84 | 55.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.91 | 54.5% | 19.56 | 54.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →