| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.21 | 35.9% | 10.12 | 63.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.18 | 64.2% | 14.88 | 64.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.12 | 63.1% | 44.87 | 63.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.20 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 62.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.53 | 59.2% | 34.08 | 59.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.40 | 58.2% | 16.53 | 58.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.10 | 56.5% | 60.00 | 57.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →