| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.94 | 72.3% | 60.00 | 26.8% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.95 | 70.6% | 60.00 | 28.5% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.19 | 68.8% | 60.00 | 30.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.71 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 32.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.54 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 34.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.75 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.42 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.63 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.51 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 43.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.22 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.99 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →