| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.23 | 50.6% | 6.19 | 50.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.93 | 49.7% | 32.24 | 50.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.48 | 48.1% | 29.56 | 48.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.11 | 46.2% | 42.07 | 47.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →