| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.30 | 46.3% | 27.45 | 47.0% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.02 | 44.5% | 39.57 | 45.6% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.57 | 43.0% | 11.86 | 43.4% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.70 | 41.7% | 33.24 | 42.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.01 | 58.3% | 46.06 | 40.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.01 | 57.0% | 14.83 | 42.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.31 | 55.6% | 49.11 | 43.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →