| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.96 | 63.8% | 14.64 | 36.0% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.21 | 62.4% | 60.00 | 36.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.43 | 60.1% | 59.11 | 38.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.74 | 58.3% | 29.56 | 41.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.51 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 42.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.88 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →