| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.25 | 67.2% | 60.00 | 68.2% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.02 | 65.2% | 60.00 | 66.2% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.16 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 64.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.74 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 61.9% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.85 | 58.3% | 60.00 | 59.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.60 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 57.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.16 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 54.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.72 | 50.1% | 60.00 | 51.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.57 | 47.0% | 60.00 | 48.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →