| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.28 | 60.1% | 18.81 | 60.5% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.54 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.85 | 56.5% | 34.95 | 57.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.54 | 55.6% | 6.97 | 55.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.34 | 44.0% | 19.95 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.03 | 55.5% | 49.37 | 56.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →