| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.70 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 66.5% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.80 | 63.3% | 60.00 | 64.4% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.32 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 62.2% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.37 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.04 | 56.1% | 60.00 | 57.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.50 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 54.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.94 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 51.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →