| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.73 | 46.9% | 20.04 | 47.4% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.17 | 46.0% | 12.96 | 46.4% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 67.98 | 44.8% | 30.47 | 45.7% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.81 | 55.3% | 33.06 | 44.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.76 | 54.3% | 11.27 | 45.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.06 | 52.6% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.80 | 49.7% | 60.00 | 48.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →