| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.52 | 57.8% | 52.93 | 58.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.37 | 55.5% | 54.06 | 56.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.42 | 52.9% | 60.00 | 54.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.24 | 51.2% | 11.39 | 51.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.19 | 50.0% | 38.57 | 50.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.52 | 47.4% | 60.00 | 49.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →