| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.36 | 65.8% | 41.68 | 33.5% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.76 | 64.0% | 60.00 | 34.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.14 | 61.8% | 60.00 | 37.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.00 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 39.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.46 | 56.9% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.56 | 55.3% | 13.03 | 44.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.84 | 54.1% | 38.88 | 45.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →