| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.98 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 67.7% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.28 | 65.0% | 35.96 | 65.7% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.33 | 64.1% | 19.43 | 64.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.07 | 62.9% | 46.56 | 63.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.24 | 61.2% | 39.94 | 62.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.32 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 60.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.07 | 57.5% | 25.32 | 58.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.94 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 56.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.55 | 52.8% | 60.00 | 54.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.77 | 50.2% | 50.55 | 51.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.79 | 47.3% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →