| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.75 | 47.8% | 13.74 | 48.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.39 | 47.2% | 8.68 | 47.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.41 | 46.2% | 29.29 | 47.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.33 | 54.5% | 6.17 | 45.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.86 | 53.6% | 31.54 | 45.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →