| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.65 | 47.7% | 13.20 | 48.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.30 | 51.8% | 35.35 | 47.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.47 | 50.5% | 17.90 | 49.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.18 | 49.7% | 12.02 | 50.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.77 | 49.3% | 51.15 | 50.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.82 | 46.7% | 48.03 | 48.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.15 | 53.6% | 43.46 | 45.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.05 | 52.2% | 15.16 | 47.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.10 | 47.3% | 32.23 | 48.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.17 | 52.4% | 45.19 | 46.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →