| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.58 | 62.5% | 10.36 | 37.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.18 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 37.7% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.03 | 59.3% | 32.62 | 40.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.15 | 57.4% | 58.60 | 41.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.41 | 54.9% | 53.49 | 43.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.78 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.66 | 49.3% | 60.00 | 49.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →