| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.93 | 74.1% | 60.00 | 74.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.71 | 72.5% | 60.00 | 73.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.69 | 70.8% | 60.00 | 71.7% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.91 | 69.0% | 60.00 | 70.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.39 | 67.1% | 60.00 | 68.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.18 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 66.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.34 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 64.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.95 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 61.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.09 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 59.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.88 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 56.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →