| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.41 | 58.1% | 9.53 | 41.7% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.29 | 57.2% | 31.07 | 42.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.76 | 56.1% | 21.18 | 43.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.15 | 55.0% | 28.13 | 44.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →