| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.08 | 53.6% | 21.48 | 54.1% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.28 | 52.0% | 45.39 | 53.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.87 | 48.9% | 8.73 | 50.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.75 | 48.0% | 22.94 | 51.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.62 | 51.8% | 30.89 | 52.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →