| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.92 | 71.5% | 60.00 | 72.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.04 | 69.7% | 60.00 | 70.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.41 | 67.9% | 60.00 | 68.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.08 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 66.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.09 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 64.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.52 | 61.5% | 60.00 | 62.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.44 | 59.1% | 60.00 | 60.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.97 | 56.6% | 60.00 | 57.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →