| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.43 | 62.2% | 60.00 | 63.3% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.71 | 60.6% | 24.07 | 61.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.86 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 60.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.34 | 56.9% | 37.72 | 57.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.95 | 55.2% | 39.14 | 56.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.01 | 53.8% | 21.52 | 54.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →