| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.34 | 69.5% | 34.27 | 30.0% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.21 | 68.4% | 36.37 | 31.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.83 | 66.8% | 60.00 | 32.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.68 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.99 | 62.9% | 41.51 | 36.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.41 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.47 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 40.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.36 | 56.1% | 56.82 | 42.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →