| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.33 | 31.2% | 40.40 | 67.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.95 | 69.7% | 29.93 | 70.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.31 | 68.9% | 21.57 | 69.2% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.04 | 68.3% | 16.42 | 68.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.51 | 67.2% | 52.08 | 68.0% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.89 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 66.3% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.01 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 64.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.57 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 62.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.04 | 58.5% | 56.79 | 59.7% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.83 | 56.5% | 39.44 | 57.3% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.59 | 54.3% | 60.00 | 55.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →