| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 8.62 | 70.3% | 6.06 | 29.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.12 | 69.4% | 52.80 | 29.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.77 | 67.6% | 60.00 | 31.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.49 | 65.6% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.56 | 63.5% | 60.00 | 35.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.05 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 37.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.05 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 40.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.68 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.07 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.43 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 47.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 126.02 | 47.6% | 60.00 | 50.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →