| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.66 | 77.4% | 31.48 | 22.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.51 | 76.4% | 56.92 | 22.9% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.70 | 75.1% | 51.58 | 24.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.72 | 73.8% | 46.31 | 25.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.87 | 72.4% | 60.00 | 26.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.87 | 70.7% | 60.00 | 28.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.11 | 68.9% | 60.00 | 30.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.61 | 67.0% | 60.00 | 32.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.43 | 64.9% | 60.00 | 34.0% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.63 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 36.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.27 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.46 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.32 | 55.4% | 60.00 | 43.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →