| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 121.16 | 45.8% | 55.54 | 52.7% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 140.81 | 42.6% | 60.00 | 55.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.95 | 58.7% | 20.51 | 59.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.64 | 41.5% | 7.74 | 58.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.46 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.00 | 43.1% | 26.71 | 56.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.67 | 56.7% | 45.73 | 57.7% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.56 | 54.9% | 34.90 | 55.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.09 | 45.3% | 22.67 | 54.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.69 | 54.7% | 30.45 | 55.4% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.37 | 53.0% | 41.02 | 54.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →