| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 130.43 | 46.0% | 60.00 | 47.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.99 | 43.4% | 33.87 | 44.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.25 | 42.1% | 12.32 | 42.5% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.97 | 40.2% | 50.30 | 41.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 162.84 | 36.8% | 60.00 | 38.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 182.19 | 32.9% | 60.00 | 35.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →