| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.63 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 65.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 37.66 | 62.6% | 23.56 | 63.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.16 | 61.4% | 35.12 | 62.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.74 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.16 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.99 | 54.5% | 54.52 | 55.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.74 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 53.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.10 | 48.9% | 58.25 | 50.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.02 | 45.8% | 60.00 | 47.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.24 | 43.6% | 20.16 | 44.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.53 | 42.2% | 28.09 | 43.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →