| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.03 | 67.4% | 60.00 | 31.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.78 | 65.4% | 60.00 | 33.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.89 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 35.7% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.43 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 37.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.49 | 58.5% | 60.00 | 40.2% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.19 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 42.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.67 | 53.3% | 60.00 | 45.3% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.14 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 48.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →