| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.13 | 56.2% | 34.94 | 43.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.90 | 54.1% | 60.00 | 44.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.53 | 46.7% | 22.19 | 47.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.04 | 52.5% | 57.81 | 46.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.37 | 50.2% | 37.85 | 48.8% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 125.76 | 47.7% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →