| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 132.32 | 43.8% | 58.00 | 45.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.26 | 41.2% | 34.30 | 42.2% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.73 | 58.9% | 44.60 | 40.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.69 | 57.2% | 36.43 | 42.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.07 | 55.5% | 43.29 | 43.6% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.03 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 45.5% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.80 | 50.6% | 43.91 | 48.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.42 | 48.8% | 27.05 | 50.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 127.39 | 46.5% | 59.28 | 51.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →