| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.83 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 58.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.91 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 55.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.87 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 53.2% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.96 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 50.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.50 | 45.6% | 60.00 | 47.3% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 141.97 | 42.3% | 60.00 | 44.0% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 155.09 | 38.7% | 60.00 | 40.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →