| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.42 | 73.7% | 60.00 | 74.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.26 | 72.1% | 60.00 | 72.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 79.90 | 70.4% | 56.25 | 71.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.83 | 68.7% | 56.88 | 69.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.56 | 67.1% | 39.98 | 67.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.09 | 65.5% | 53.80 | 66.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.18 | 63.7% | 47.92 | 64.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.32 | 62.0% | 47.30 | 62.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.21 | 59.9% | 60.00 | 61.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.54 | 57.4% | 60.00 | 58.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.58 | 54.8% | 60.00 | 56.1% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.48 | 52.0% | 60.00 | 53.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →