| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.05 | 82.4% | 50.29 | 17.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.51 | 81.6% | 31.44 | 18.1% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.10 | 18.2% | 11.82 | 18.6% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.37 | 81.8% | 60.00 | 17.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.27 | 80.7% | 54.29 | 18.8% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.40 | 79.6% | 60.00 | 19.8% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.62 | 78.3% | 60.00 | 21.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →