| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.09 | 57.9% | 31.29 | 58.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.26 | 56.8% | 18.32 | 57.2% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.66 | 56.2% | 9.36 | 56.4% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.60 | 55.4% | 28.56 | 56.0% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.09 | 53.7% | 44.08 | 54.7% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.05 | 52.1% | 25.02 | 52.7% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.06 | 50.0% | 60.00 | 51.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →