| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.02 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 67.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.89 | 64.6% | 60.00 | 65.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 74.49 | 62.7% | 46.67 | 63.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.68 | 60.7% | 54.45 | 61.8% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.74 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 59.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.48 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 57.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.01 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 54.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.55 | 50.2% | 60.00 | 51.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →