| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.97 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 32.3% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.72 | 65.1% | 34.96 | 34.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.94 | 63.6% | 45.78 | 35.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.94 | 61.7% | 57.35 | 37.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.02 | 59.4% | 60.00 | 39.4% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.49 | 56.9% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →